Week 15 Picks

Last week, I was 10-4 for the week and am now 103-82-3 on the season in picking games against the spread (ATS).

Here are my week 15 picks:

Packers -2.5 (over Jags): Who expected their records to be 5-8 and 4-9 for this matchup?

Lions +17 (over Colts): The Colts are definitely better, but trap game ends closer than spread.

Redskins -6.5 (over Bengals): The Bungles help 'Skins get back on track.

Falcons -3 (over Bucs): NFC South teams much better at home (combined 24-2) than on road.

49ers +6 (over Dolphins): Singletary has team playing well.

Rams +2.5 (over Seahawks): Let's face it - there is no winner in this game...

Bills +7.5 (over Jets): Just a hunch...

Titans -3 (over Texans): Next 2 are Steelers and Colts...better beat the Texans.

Steelers +2.5 (over Ravens): Defensive battle, but Steelers has better offense.

Panthers -7.5 (over Broncos): DeAngelo Williams has 9 TDs in last 4 weeks.

Chargers -6 (over Chiefs): Can Chargers pick up where they left off against the Raiders? Yeah, the Chiefs are even worse than the dysfunctional Raiders.

Vikings +3 (over Cards): AP will be All Day today.

Patriots -7 (over Raiders): Lack of confidence in Raiders > Confidence in Patriots

Giants +3 (over Cowboys): Does drama catch up to Dallas soap opera?

Eagles -14 (over Browns): Lots of blitzes/pressure on Dorsey.

Week 14 Picks

Here are my week 14 picks:

Colts -13.5 (over Bengals): Colts win this one easily.

Bears -6.5 (over Jaguars): Bears have something to play for, Jags only playing for pride.

Texans +7 (over Packers): Packers win, Texans cover.

Titans -13.5 (over Browns): Long day for Ken Dorsey.

Lions +10.5 (over Vikings): Vikings win, Lions cover.

Ravens -6 (over Redskins): Ravens tough at home.

Giants -7 (over Eagles): Giants deal with distractions extremely well.

Saints -3 (over Falcons): Saints tough at home (5-1).

Jets -4 (over 49ers): Spread should closer to 7.

Dolphins +1.5 (over Bills): Home game for Bills in Toronto with closed roof gives Dolphins slight edge. No Trent Edwards.

Broncos -9 (over Chiefs): Chiefs are awful. Hillis will run downhillis all day. (ok - corny joke)

Cards -14 (over Rams): Rams are the worse Missouri-based team.

Steelers -4 (over Cowboys): No MBIII - Steelers #1 ranked defense.

Patriots -7 (over Seahawks): Seahawks have 32nd-ranked pass defense.

Panthers -3 (over Bucs): Panthers perfect 6-0 at home on season.

Week 13 Picks

Last week I went 6-7-1 and I am 86-71-3 on the season in picking games against the spread (ATS). Here are my week 13 picks:

Titans -11.5 over Lions: Titans take frustration of last week's loss out on Lions.

Seahawks +12.5 over Cowboys: Cowboys win, Seahawks cover.

Eagles -3 over Cardinals: Last shot for McNabb (and perhaps Reid).

Jets -7.5 over Broncos: Thomas Jones should run all over Broncos.

Bills -6.5 over 49ers: Bills bounced back big last week. It carries over to week 13.

Bucs -3.5 over Saints: Bucs perfect at home this season.

Panthers +3 over Packers: Panthers 1-2 punch of Williams and Stewart really good.

Giants -3.5 over Redskins: Giants best team in NFL (by far).

Ravens -7 over Bengals: 2 teams heading in opposite directions.

Colts -5 over Browns: No Brady Quinn. Colts are back.

Falcons +4.5 over Chargers: Chargers always find way to lose close games.

Steelers +1 over Pats: Steelers defense tough although Steelers banged up for game.

Bears +3.5 over Vikings: Think this game is decided by FG. Take the points.

Jaguars +3 over Texans: The Jags can't really be this bad, can they?

NFL Picks - Week 12

Last week, I was 7-8 to fall to 80-64-2 on the season in my picks against the spread (ATS). I look to bounce back this week and here are my picks:

Browns -3 over Texans: Probably should have put Quinn in sooner this year.

Bills -3 over Chiefs: Don't think Bills lose 5 straight.

Titans -5.5 over Jets: Titans get turnovers and Favre is due to make a few.

Pats pick 'em over Dolphins: Belichick prepared for Wildcat.

49ers +9.5 over Cowboys: Cowboys win, Niners cover.

Lions +7.5 over Bucs: see Cowboys vs 49ers

Ravens -1.5 over Eagles: Ravens tough at home and will bounce back this week.

Vikings +2.5 over Jags: AP is in a groove.

Falcons -1 over Panthers: should be a close game, but like Falcons at home.

Broncos -9 over Raiders: Raiders are horrible.

Redskins -3 over Seahawks: Redskins bounce back from back-to-back losses.

Giants -3 over Cardinals: Are the Cards for real? Today will be their true test.

Chargers -2.5 over Colts: Chargers run all over Sanders-less Colts.

Packers +2.5 over Saints: Both teams can score, but Saints can't stop anyone.

NFL Picks - Week 11

Last week, I went 7-6 on the week. My season record is now 72-56-2 against the spread (ATS). Here are my week 11 picks:

Falcons -6.5 (over Broncos): Falcons are a perfect 4-0 at home this year.

Raiders +10 (over Dolphins): Dolphins win, but Raiders cover.

Giants -7 (over Ravens): League's best rush offense faces league's top rush defense.

Colts -8 (over Texans): Get the sense the Colts are in process of turning it on.

Jaguars +3 (over Titans): Can Titans improve to 10-0? No knock, but I don't think so.

Packers -3.5 (over Bears): Orton's probable, but I look for Packers to bounce back at home.

Eagles -9 (over Bengals): Bengals are the Bungles again.

Saints -5.5 (over Chiefs): Saints should put up a lot of points.

Lions +14 (over Panthers): Lions likely lose (again), but I expect them to cover.

Vikings +4 (over Bucs): Graham likely out, AP had nearly 200 yards last week.

49ers -6.5 (over Rams): No Steven Jackson, another blowout loss.

Cardinals -3 (over Seahawks): Cards' explosive aerial assault faces 31st-ranked pass defense.

Steelers -5 (over Chargers): Steelers have a great defense, the Chargers don't.

Redskins +1.5 (over Cowboys): Hard not to take home dog in this bitter rivalry.

Bills -5 (over Browns): After 5-1 start, Bills have lost 3 straight. The buck stops here.

To fine or not to fine

First, the NFL fined Justin Tuck of the New York Giants $7,500 for a hit on Dallas Cowboys QB Brooks Bollinger. Then, after reviewing the details, the NFL rescinded it's fine.

Next, the NFL fined Randy Moss of the New England Patriots $20,000 for comments he made about NFL officiating. Then, after reviewing the details, the NFL rescinded it's fine.

I understand the desire to make decisions in a quick manner. But it makes no sense to me that the NFL fines players only to rescind the fines shortly thereafter. Why doesn't the league have some sort of system of checks and balances in place before issuing the fine?

If this was an isolated error/correction, I would understand. But the league is just too quick to judge.

Week 10 Picks

Last week, I was 9-6 with my weekly picks against the spread (ATS) and I am now 65-50-2 ATS on the season. Here are my week 10 picks:

Jaguars -6.5 over Lions: No way Jags lose to Bengals and Lions back-to-back.

Titans -3 over Bears: Grossman at QB means Titans stay unbeaten one more week.

Bills +3.5 over Patriots: Will be close game - critical game for both teams.

Falcons -1 over Saints: These Falcons are good. Did I just say that?

Jets -9 over Rams: Kenneth Darby at RB spells trouble for Rams.

Seahawks +8 over Dolphins: Dolphins win but don't cover.

Packers +2.5 over Vikings: I expect the Packers to win this one outright.

Panthers -9.5 over Raiders: Could be deja vu all over again for Raiders, who lost 24-0 last week to Falcons.

Chargers -15 over Chiefs: Chargers got to turn it around at some point.

Steelers -4.5 over Colts: Steelers defense is too good.

Eagles -3 over Giants: Westbrook, McNabb, pressure on Eli = win for Philly.

Texans pick'em over Ravens: Texans should be 4-0 at home.

Cardinals -9.5 over 49ers: Mike Singletary may want to moon his team at halftime this week too.